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Market Intelligence
& Strategic Planning

Seeing the Path Ahead in a Complex Regulatory Maze

PLANNED EUROPEAN GREEN BUILDING  
REGULATIONS

How prepared is your portfolio?

2025

National Climate Action Plans​

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G-rated flagged as

retrofit targets

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CRE gas-free + renovations NZEB

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CRE renovation minimum (c. EPC C)

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C-rated CRE minimum (Apr '25)

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CRE renovation Minergie standard

2025

2027

EU Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD) 

Requires all non-residential buildings to achieve

minimum EPC of E by Jan 2027

 

EU Emission Trading System (ETS) 2 

ETS 2 will expand the legally regulated mandate to cover commercial buildings, imposing carbon pricing via fossil fuel suppliers, and driving up costs of non-electric energy use

 

​Minimum Energy Efficiency Standards (MEES) 

EU countries  are expected to adopt stricter MEES for CRE

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National Climate Action Plans​

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2027

2028

Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) Upgrades 

New requirements for EPCs to include more detailed emission data and mandatory improvements for non-compliant  buildings 

2028

2030

EU Climate Target Plan

Minimum 40% reduction in GHG emissions from 1990 levels. Significant improvements in building energy efficiency and use of renewable energy

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Effort Sharing Regulation (ESR) 

Binding annual GHG emissions targets for sectors including buildings, aiming for 30% reduction by 2030 compared to 2005 levels

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EU EPBD 

Progressive improvement mandate requires non-residential buildings to achieve an EPC of D or better 

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National Climate Action Plans​ (Additional)

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-51% emissions + 500k retrofits

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-50% emissions + renovations NZEB

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-49% emissions

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-40% emissions

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-70% emissions

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-60% emissions

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-65% emissions

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-50% emissions

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-55% emissions

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B-rated CRE minimum

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-50% emissions + NZEB

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-50% emissions

2030

2035

EU Energy Efficiency Directive 

Fossil fuels must be phased out from heating systems in existing buildings during major renovations by 2035

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Revised EU EPBD

Expect stricter energy usage and advanced renewable energy integration​

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National Climate Action Plans​

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No fossil fuels + NZEB in CRE assets

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No fossil fuels in CRE assets

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No fossil fuels in CRE assets

2035

2040

EU Energy Efficiency Directive 

Fossil fuels must be phased out from all heating systems in existing buildings by 2040

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National Climate Action Plans​

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2040

2050

EU 2050 Long-Term Strategy

Reduce carbon emissions by 80-95% compared to 1990 levels. All buildings highly energy-efficiency and powered by renewable energy resources

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National Climate Action Plans​ (Additional)

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All CRE NZEB

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All CRE NZEB

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All CRE NZEB

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Full decarbonization for all  CRE

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All CRE

climate-neutral

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Full decarbonization for all  CRE

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All CRE NZEB

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All CRE NZEB

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Full decarbonization for all  CRE

All CRE NZEB

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All CRE

climate-neutral

Full decarbonization for all  CRE

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2050

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REFERENCES

  • Revised Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD) - European Commission, Apr 2024

  • ​Minimum Energy Efficiency Standards (MEES) - European Union. "Energy Efficiency Directive"

  • Energy Performance Certificates (EPC) Upgrades - European Commission. "Energy Efficiency in Buildings"

  • EU 2030 Climate Target Plan - European Commission. "2030 Climate Target Plan"

  • Effort Sharing Regulation (ESR) - European Environment Agency. "Effort Sharing Decision (ESD)"

  • Revised EPBD - European Commission. "Revision of the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD)"

  • EU 2050 Long-Term Strategy - European Commission. "A Clean Planet for All: A European Strategic Long-Term Vision for a Prosperous, Modern, Competitive and Climate Neutral Economy"

  • Ireland Climate Action Plan - Government of Ireland. "Climate Action Plan 2024"

  • France National Low Carbon Strategy - Government of France. "Stratégie Nationale Bas-Carbone"

  • Germany Climate Action Plan - Government of Germany. "Klimaschutzplan 2050"

  • UK Climate Action Plan - UK Government. "The Clean Growth Strategy"

  • Finland Climate Action Plan - Government of Finland. "Carbon Neutral Finland 2035"

  • Denmark Climate Action Plan - Government of Denmark. "Danmark Klimaplan"

  • Sweden Climate Policy Framework - Government of Sweden. "Klimatpolitiska ramverket och Handlingsplan"

  • Norway Climate Action Plan - Government of Norway. "Norway's Climate Action Plan 2021-2030"

  • Netherlands Climate Action Plan - Government of the Netherlands. "Klimaatakkoord"

  • Italy Climate Action Plan - Government of Italy. "Piano Nazionale Integrato per l'Energia e il Clima"

  • Spain Climate Action Plan - Government of Spain. "Plan Nacional Integrado de Energía y Clima"

  • Switzerland Climate Action Plan - Government of Switzerland. "Klimastrategie 2050"

Need Help Navigating?

Join Us in Steering the Way to a More Sustainable Future

Leaf & Ledger is dedicated to helping our clients navigate the complexities of sustainable real estate investment. Our advisory solutions provide the expertise and tools needed to optimize building performance, reduce carbon emissions, and achieve financial success. Contact us today to learn how we can help you make a meaningful impact on your sustainability journey.

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